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Tai Felton
Tai Felton

#10Tai Felton

WR·Maryland·2024

Tai Felton is a Versatile WR for Maryland. Tai's 2024 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 98 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Tai Felton's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving
96 Receptions1124 Rec yards9 Rec TD11.7 Yards/rec
Returns
2 Punt returns26 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume36
  • Explosiveness31
  • Consistency80
  • Pass-Down91
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency80th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸11 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.38 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • ▸Peak game: 2.45 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs UConn (SP+ 2).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+2.450−2.45Wk 1 vs UConn: +2.45 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Michigan State: +1.71 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Virginia: +1.10 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Villanova: +0.88 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Indiana: +0.47 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs Northwestern: +0.70 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs USC: +0.61 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Minnesota: +1.14 EPA/play9Wk 11 vs Oregon: -0.39 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Rutgers: +1.34 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Iowa: +1.58 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Penn State: +0.76 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsUConnW50-71.5717825.42752.45
2vsMichigan StateL24-27-4.61115213.81351.71
3@VirginiaW27-13-5.1911713.01371.10
4vsVillanovaW38-20—1415711.21610.88
5@IndianaL28-4220.15387.60210.47
7vsNorthwesternL10-37-8.29778.60130.70
8vsUSCW29-2811.99849.31180.61
9@MinnesotaL23-4810.4910411.60261.14
11@OregonL18-3926.077210.3034-0.39
12vsRutgersL17-316.466110.21171.34
13vsIowaL13-2915.86579.52131.58
14@Penn StateL7-4424.64276.80160.76

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
12.5%
Passing plays
20.5%
Rushing plays
0.6%
Standard downs
11.2%
Passing downs
15.2%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.90
Passing downs
1.15
Pass / Rush EPA
1.01 / 0.77

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.