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Scotty Fox Jr.

#15Scotty Fox Jr.

Scotty Fox Jr. is a Clutch Passer for West Virginia. Scotty's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 237 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Scotty Fox Jr.'s projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing
101/170 Comp/Att1276 Pass yards7 Pass TD6 INT59.4% Comp %
Rushing
201 Rush yards3 Rush TD84 Carries2.4 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume100
  • Dual-Threat29
  • Consistency31
  • Clutch74
Player type
Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency31th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • 3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.27 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 1.93 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Robert Morris.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.9301.93Wk 1 vs Robert Morris: +1.93 EPA/play1Wk 3 vs Pittsburgh: +0.12 EPA/play3Wk 5 vs Utah: -0.54 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs BYU: +1.10 EPA/play6Wk 8 vs UCF: -0.40 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs TCU: +0.13 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Houston: +0.47 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Colorado: +0.22 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Arizona State: +0.29 EPA/play12Wk 14 vs Texas Tech: -0.28 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsRobert MorrisW45-31/1800100.06311.93
3vsPittsburghW31-248.41/456021.0200.12
5vsUtahL14-4822.250-0.54
6@BYUL24-3815.93/3541099.92201.10
8@UCFL13-45-1.26/1747003.520-0.40
9vsTCUL17-238.328/413012041.0-1400.13
10@HoustonW45-357.413/221571095.26520.47
11vsColoradoW29-22-8.317/282021245.45800.22
12@Arizona StateL23-253.919/313532163.5700.29
14vsTexas TechL0-4927.613/2398019.5-90-0.28

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
35.3%
Passing plays
64.4%
Rushing plays
16.4%
Standard downs
28.3%
Passing downs
52.1%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.08
Passing downs
0.25
Pass / Rush EPA
0.23 / 0.04

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.