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Nick Vattiato
Nick Vattiato

Nick Vattiato

QB·Middle Tennessee·2025

Nick Vattiato is a Clutch Passer for Middle Tennessee. Nick's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 414 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Nick Vattiato's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing
219/357 Comp/Att2157 Pass yards16 Pass TD7 INT61.3% Comp %
Rushing
20 Rush yards2 Rush TD62 Carries0.3 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume100
  • Dual-Threat25
  • Consistency70
  • Clutch80
Player type
Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency70th %ile · average
Key findings
  • ▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • ▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Peak game: 0.43 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Marshall (SP+ -5).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.430−0.43Wk 1 vs Austin Peay: -0.18 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Wisconsin: +0.27 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Nevada: +0.09 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Marshall: +0.43 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Kennesaw State: +0.03 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs Missouri State: +0.24 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs Delaware: +0.14 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Jacksonville State: +0.16 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Florida International: +0.34 EPA/play11
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsAustin PeayL14-34—15/36104203.6-100-0.18
2@WisconsinL10-42-4.420/311971169.9-900.27
3@NevadaW14-13-13.427/442471140.4810.09
4vsMarshallL28-42-4.519/322992135.7-610.43
5@Kennesaw StateL16-24-5.428/422850117.81100.03
7vsMissouri StateL20-22-10.730/422672035.1600.24
9@DelawareL28-31-10.931/482813141.4500.14
10vsJacksonville StateL21-24-6.723/452352131.22000.16
11vsFlorida InternationalL30-56-10.526/372423150.6-500.34

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
68.1%
Passing plays
93.3%
Rushing plays
21.5%
Standard downs
63.6%
Passing downs
77.3%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.10
Passing downs
0.30
Pass / Rush EPA
0.20 / 0.03

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.