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Navelle Dean

#7Navelle Dean

Navelle Dean is a Red Zone Weapon WR for Kennesaw State.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Navelle Dean's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving
5 Receptions47 Rec yards1 Rec TD9.4 Yards/rec

Air yards

Where the ball goes, and how much of the gain is the throw rather than the run after it.

7
Targets
10.3y
Avg depth
4.0y
After catch
71%
Catch rate

The ball travels 10.3 yards in the air on an average target 1.4 yards deeper than the median. Another 4.0 comes after the catch.

Where he is targeted

targets · completion rate · yards
deep
1
0% · 0y
0
0
short
2
100% · 13y
0
4
75% · 38y
leftmiddleright

Depth and direction come from CFBD’s passing detail, which is backfilled after the games: this covers weeks 1–2 only. Spikes, throwaways and intentional grounding are excluded before any average.

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume5
  • Explosiveness16
  • Consistency95
  • Pass-Down0
Player type
Red Zone Weapon WR

Goes from good to great inside the 20 — high TD conversion on limited looks makes this receiver a scoring machine.

Red zone targetHigh TD rateSize/catch radius advantage
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency95th %ile · elite
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Peak game: 1.54 EPA/play in Wk 15 vs Jacksonville State (SP+ -7).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.5401.54Wk 4 vs Arkansas State: +0.98 EPA/play4Wk 13 vs Missouri State: +1.32 EPA/play13Wk 15 vs Jacksonville State: +1.54 EPA/play15
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
4vsArkansas StateW28-21-8.811111.00110.98
13vsMissouri StateW41-34-10.711313.00131.32
15@Jacksonville StateW19-15-6.72199.51111.54
20vsWestern MichiganL6-41-1.4144.004

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
1.7%
Passing plays
3.5%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
1.2%
Passing downs
2.5%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
1.54
Passing downs
0.75
Pass / Rush EPA
1.07 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.