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Mason Mini

#85Mason Mini

Mason Mini is a Versatile TE for California. Mason's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 53 plays — a elite rate for the TE.

What projects, and what doesn't · TEs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.42
    Beats guessing the TE average by 9%. n=2,225 TE seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.04
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=2,016 TE seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.46
    Beats guessing the TE average by 13%. n=2,016 TE seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Mason Mini's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving
35 Receptions387 Rec yards4 Rec TD11.1 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs TE peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume22
  • Explosiveness27
  • Consistency75
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Versatile TE

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency75th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.19 from the first to second half of the season.
  • Peak game: 1.36 EPA/play in Wk 10 vs Virginia (SP+ 11).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Ty ThompsonTulane0.4200.720.2
Seth GreenMinnesota0.3900.032.4
Johnny LanganRutgers0.3000.017.7
Evan SvobodaWyoming0.2900.521.8
Jordan MyersRice0.2700.215.9

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.3601.36Wk 1 vs Oregon State: +0.66 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Texas Southern: +0.10 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Minnesota: +0.21 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs San Diego State: +0.65 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Boston College: +0.83 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Duke: +1.21 EPA/play6Wk 8 vs North Carolina: -0.34 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Virginia Tech: +0.49 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Virginia: +1.36 EPA/play10Wk 13 vs Stanford: +0.71 EPA/play13
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1@Oregon StateW34-15-15.94338.31190.66
2vsTexas SouthernW35-35428.40130.10
3vsMinnesotaW27-141.54246.0190.21
4@San Diego StateL0-346.76549.00190.65
5@Boston CollegeW28-24-8.547017.51510.83
6vsDukeL21-456.635618.70281.21
8vsNorth CarolinaW21-18-6.6188.008-0.34
9@Virginia TechL34-42-10.156112.21250.49
10vsVirginiaL21-3111.123417.00241.36
13@StanfordL10-31-11.8155.0050.71

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
7.8%
Passing plays
13.0%
Rushing plays
0.4%
Standard downs
7.7%
Passing downs
8.1%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.33
Passing downs
0.78
Pass / Rush EPA
0.51 / -0.65

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.