Marlon Gunn

RB·East Carolina·2025

Marlon Gunn is a Committee Back for East Carolina. Marlon's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 109 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Marlon Gunn's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

582 Rush yards6 Rush TD112 Carries5.2 Yards/carry

Receiving

6 Receptions29 Rec yards0 Rec TD4.8 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency0
Volume34
Explosiveness44
Consistency0
Receiving30

Player type

Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.86 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.96 EPA/play in Wk 13 vs UTSA (SP+ 4).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	@NC State	L17-24	4.8	6	5	0.8	1	—	—	—	-0.02
2	vsCampbell	W56-3	—	8	33	4.1	1	—	—	—	0.34
3	@Coastal Carolina	W38-0	-15.1	1	0	0.0	0	—	—	—	-3.69
4	vsBYU	L13-34	15.9	6	35	5.8	0	2	0	0	0.30
5	vsArmy	W28-6	0.8	10	53	5.3	0	—	—	—	-0.15
7	@Tulane	L19-26	6.3	10	52	5.2	0	—	—	—	0.18
8	vsTulsa	W41-27	-10.0	14	60	4.3	1	—	—	—	0.17
10	@Temple	W45-14	-5.1	10	64	6.4	1	1	7	0	0.37
11	vsCharlotte	W48-22	-26.7	5	18	3.6	0	—	—	—	-0.11
12	vsMemphis	W31-27	7.6	5	20	4.0	0	—	—	—	-0.06
13	@UTSA	L24-58	3.7	5	62	12.4	1	3	22	0	0.96
14	@Florida Atlantic	W42-3	-8.7	14	130	9.3	1	—	—	—	0.59
20	vsPittsburgh	W23-17	8.4	18	50	2.8	0	—	—	—	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

12.0%

Passing plays

2.0%

Rushing plays

20.5%

Standard downs

13.2%

Passing downs

8.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.11
Passing downs: 0.17
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.16 / 0.12

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).