#18Marcus Bellon

WR·Nevada·2025

Marcus Bellon is a Slot Specialist WR for Nevada. Marcus's 2025 season produced -10.1 total EPA across 39 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Marcus Bellon's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving

25 Receptions242 Rec yards1 Rec TD9.7 Yards/rec

Returns

13 Punt returns74 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Efficiency0
Volume23
Explosiveness18
Consistency0
Pass-Down31

Player type

Slot Specialist WR

The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.

3rd-down converterRoute technicianHigh passing-down share

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs WR peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.53 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.97 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Fresno State (SP+ 2).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
De'Michael Harris	Southern Miss	2019	117	0.130	0.7	15.2
Amare Jones	Tulane	2020	71	0.180	0.0	12.8
Hyleck Foster	Marshall	2015	101	0.180	0.5	18.2

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	@Penn State	L11-46	18.1	6	76	12.7	1	32	1.13
2	vsSacramento State	W20-17	—	2	59	29.5	0	43	-0.82
3	vsMiddle Tennessee	L13-14	-16.0	3	18	6.0	0	8	-0.35
4	@Western Kentucky	L16-31	1.6	3	28	9.3	0	20	-0.17
6	@Fresno State	L17-20	1.8	1	12	12.0	0	12	1.97
9	vsBoise State	L3-24	3.1	3	9	3.0	0	6	-0.23
11	@Utah State	L14-51	-3.1	2	8	4.0	0	5	-0.89
12	vsSan José State	W55-10	-14.3	1	11	11.0	0	11	0.48
13	@Wyoming	W13-7	-11.3	1	3	3.0	0	3	-0.45
14	vsUNLV	L17-42	4.3	3	18	6.0	0	11	0.18

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

8.1%

Passing plays

17.8%

Rushing plays

1.2%

Standard downs

6.4%

Passing downs

11.4%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: -0.21
Passing downs: -0.32
Pass / Rush EPA: -0.22 / -0.58

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).