#5Malik Jackson

RB·Jacksonville State·2023

Malik Jackson is a Committee Back for Jacksonville State. Malik's 2023 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 160 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Malik Jackson's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Rushing

897 Rush yards7 Rush TD146 Carries6.1 Yards/carry

Receiving

15 Receptions82 Rec yards0 Rec TD5.5 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs RB peers

Efficiency0
Volume52
Explosiveness62
Consistency32
Receiving51

Player type

Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency32th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.24 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 1.58 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs Louisiana Tech (SP+ -13).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
0	vsUTEP	W17-14	-16.2	13	76	5.8	1	1	16	0	—
1	vsEast Tennessee State	W49-3	—	12	100	8.3	1	—	—	—	0.37
2	@Coastal Carolina	L16-30	-1.2	18	73	4.1	0	4	28	0	-0.04
4	vsEastern Michigan	W21-0	-12.3	21	127	6.0	0	3	6	0	0.11
5	@Sam Houston	W35-28	-13.8	13	129	9.9	1	2	6	0	0.28
6	@Middle Tennessee	W45-30	-9.5	21	54	2.6	1	2	8	0	-0.21
7	vsLiberty	L13-31	8.0	6	19	3.2	0	1	9	0	0.23
9	@Florida International	W41-16	-21.2	9	37	4.1	0	—	—	—	-0.11
10	@South Carolina	L28-38	4.3	3	9	3.0	0	—	—	—	-0.23
12	vsLouisiana Tech	W56-17	-12.9	9	193	21.4	2	—	—	—	1.58
13	@New Mexico State	L17-20	-1.8	8	43	5.4	1	2	9	0	0.22
20	vsLouisiana	W34-31	0.4	13	37	2.8	0	—	—	—	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

18.1%

Passing plays

5.1%

Rushing plays

25.3%

Standard downs

22.7%

Passing downs

7.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.14
Passing downs: 0.04
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.13 / 0.12

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).