#3Lotzeir Brooks

WR·Alabama·2025

Lotzeir Brooks is a Slot Specialist WR for Alabama. Lotzeir's 2025 season produced 20.2 total EPA across 47 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Lotzeir Brooks's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving

32 Receptions441 Rec yards2 Rec TD13.8 Yards/rec

Returns

15 Kick returns283 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Efficiency100
Volume17
Explosiveness45
Consistency60
Pass-Down100

Player type

Slot Specialist WR

The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.

3rd-down converterRoute technicianHigh passing-down share

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency60th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.90 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.29 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs UL Monroe (SP+ -22).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Dane Kinamon	Air Force	2021	39	0.410	0.7	16.0
Micah Davis	Air Force	2021	44	0.370	0.6	16.3
Keytaon Thompson	Virginia	2021	41	0.370	0.6	15.2
JoJo Natson	Utah State	2014	51	0.390	1.0	19.9
Savion Williams	TCU	2024	56	0.450	1.1	25.2

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
2	vsUL Monroe	W73-0	-21.6	4	58	14.5	0	19	1.29
3	vsWisconsin	W38-14	-4.4	2	30	15.0	0	16	0.61
5	@Georgia	W24-21	24.1	2	40	20.0	0	21	1.10
6	vsVanderbilt	W30-14	20.3	1	30	30.0	0	30	0.82
7	@Missouri	W27-24	14.4	4	58	14.5	0	29	0.85
8	vsTennessee	W37-20	15.0	3	39	13.0	0	25	0.35
11	vsLSU	W20-9	10.3	4	67	16.8	0	53	0.19
12	vsOklahoma	L21-23	18.3	2	12	6.0	0	6	0.89
13	vsEastern Illinois	W56-0	—	1	-2	-2.0	0	0	-0.62
14	@Auburn	W27-20	11.6	3	29	9.7	0	15	-0.08
15	vsGeorgia	L7-28	24.1	1	1	1.0	0	1	-0.43
20	vsIndiana	L3-38	32.4	—	—	—	—	—	—
20	@Oklahoma	W34-24	18.3	5	79	15.8	2	30	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

6.0%

Passing plays

10.4%

Rushing plays

1.0%

Standard downs

4.1%

Passing downs

10.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.07
Passing downs: 0.78
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.43 / 0.41

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).