#35Kenneth Farrow

RB·Houston·2015 20142.1 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Kenneth Farrow is a 2-year Explosive Back for Houston. Kenneth's 2015 season ranks in the 30th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 179 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Kenneth Farrow's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2015 Production

Rushing

958 Rush yards12 Rush TD185 Carries5.2 Yards/carry

Receiving

10 Receptions119 Rec yards0 Rec TD11.9 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2015 · vs RB peers

Efficiency30
Volume57
Explosiveness44
Consistency38
Receiving23

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)30th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency38th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 1.12 EPA/play in Wk 8 vs UCF (SP+ -16).

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2017	240	0.410	5.2	98.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsTennessee Tech	W52-24	—	11	49	4.5	0	2	15	0	0.13
2	@Louisville	W34-31	13.2	27	109	4.0	0	1	10	0	0.08
4	vsTexas State	W59-14	-15.5	17	68	4.0	0	—	—	—	-0.14
5	@Tulsa	W38-24	-8.5	19	159	8.4	2	—	—	—	0.38
6	vsSMU	W49-28	-17.5	11	40	3.6	3	1	28	0	0.75
7	@Tulane	W42-7	-14.0	14	77	5.5	0	1	0	0	-0.01
8	@UCF	W59-10	-15.5	13	167	12.8	3	1	28	0	1.12
9	vsVanderbilt	W34-0	-1.6	16	82	5.1	1	—	—	—	-0.15
10	vsCincinnati	W33-30	5.3	30	106	3.5	1	1	8	0	-0.14
11	vsMemphis	W35-34	8.0	10	46	4.6	2	2	32	0	0.60
12	@UConn	L17-20	-6.3	14	46	3.3	0	1	-2	0	-0.15
1	vsFlorida State	W38-24	23.2	3	9	3.0	0	—	—	—	-0.11

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

20.1%

Passing plays

2.5%

Rushing plays

33.1%

Standard downs

24.4%

Passing downs

10.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.07
Passing downs: 0.63
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.76 / 0.12

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2014 — 2015 · 25 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2014	Houston	2.7	0.310	—	57.7
2015	Houston	2.1	0.280	-0.03	51.5

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.