#33Kendre Miller

RB·TCU·20223.9 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Kendre Miller is a Featured Back for TCU. Kendre's 2022 season ranks in the 75th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 243 plays — a above-average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Kendre Miller's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2022 Production

Rushing

1399 Rush yards17 Rush TD224 Carries6.2 Yards/carry

Receiving

16 Receptions116 Rec yards0 Rec TD7.3 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2022 · vs RB peers

Efficiency75
Volume73
Explosiveness64
Consistency76
Receiving38

Player type

Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)75th %ile · above avg

Game-to-game consistency76th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Above-average efficiency for the RB position (75th percentile).
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.21 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.60 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Tarleton State.

NIL Market Tier· 2022

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Hassan Haskins	Michigan	2021	280	0.380	4.8	106.4
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2017	240	0.410	5.2	98.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	@Colorado	W38-13	-20.4	8	52	6.5	1	1	1	0	0.26
2	vsTarleton State	W59-17	—	13	56	4.3	1	1	21	0	0.60
4	@SMU	W42-34	4.7	17	142	8.4	1	1	10	0	0.49
5	vsOklahoma	W55-24	15.4	13	136	10.5	2	1	3	0	0.44
6	@Kansas	W38-31	2.9	18	88	4.9	1	2	5	0	0.21
7	vsOklahoma State	W43-40	11.3	22	104	4.7	2	1	17	0	0.11
8	vsKansas State	W38-28	21.4	29	153	5.3	2	1	18	0	0.36
9	@West Virginia	W41-31	2.4	12	120	10.0	1	1	-1	0	0.43
10	vsTexas Tech	W34-24	8.5	21	158	7.5	1	1	5	0	0.09
11	@Texas	W17-10	23.1	21	138	6.6	1	1	10	0	0.17
12	@Baylor	W29-28	11.7	10	41	4.1	1	2	14	0	0.26
13	vsIowa State	W62-14	5.3	15	72	4.8	2	1	12	0	0.27
14	vsKansas State	L28-31	21.4	17	82	4.8	1	2	1	0	-0.19
1	vsMichigan	W51-45	32.0	8	57	7.1	0	—	—	—	0.01

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

25.4%

Passing plays

5.3%

Rushing plays

43.1%

Standard downs

30.2%

Passing downs

14.1%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.24
Passing downs: 0.24
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.21 / 0.24

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2022 · 14 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.