#18Ke'Travion Hargrove

RB·Old Dominion·2025

Ke'Travion Hargrove is a Explosive Back for Old Dominion. Ke'Travion's 2025 season produced 16.1 total EPA across 38 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Ke'Travion Hargrove's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

268 Rush yards4 Rush TD64 Carries4.2 Yards/carry

Receiving

6 Receptions192 Rec yards2 Rec TD32.0 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency98
Volume27
Explosiveness24
Consistency29
Receiving45

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)98th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency29th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among RBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.54 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 2.62 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs App State (SP+ -11).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	@Indiana	L14-27	32.4	3	7	2.3	0	—	—	—	-0.29
2	vsNorth Carolina Central	W54-6	—	5	25	5.0	0	—	—	—	-0.15
3	@Virginia Tech	W45-26	-10.1	7	36	5.1	0	—	—	—	0.28
5	vsLiberty	W21-7	-9.0	5	19	3.8	0	—	—	—	-0.07
6	vsCoastal Carolina	W47-7	-15.1	6	47	7.8	0	2	82	1	0.63
7	@Marshall	L24-48	-4.5	6	13	2.2	0	2	19	0	0.13
9	vsApp State	W24-21	-11.4	1	1	1.0	0	1	70	1	2.62
10	@UL Monroe	W31-6	-21.6	9	38	4.2	1	1	21	0	0.30
12	vsTroy	W33-0	-4.8	6	20	3.3	0	—	—	—	-0.31
13	@Georgia Southern	W45-10	-9.4	10	40	4.0	3	—	—	—	0.48
14	vsGeorgia State	W27-10	-24.5	6	22	3.7	0	—	—	—	-0.01

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

9.3%

Passing plays

2.3%

Rushing plays

14.0%

Standard downs

10.4%

Passing downs

6.3%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.41
Passing downs: 0.53
Pass / Rush EPA: 4.45 / 0.08

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).