Skip to content
Kalieb Osborne
Kalieb Osborne

#7Kalieb Osborne

QB·Toledo·2025

Kalieb Osborne is a Dual-Threat QB for Toledo. Kalieb's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 66 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Kalieb Osborne's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing
32/52 Comp/Att427 Pass yards3 Pass TD0 INT61.5% Comp %
Rushing
282 Rush yards2 Rush TD51 Carries5.5 Yards/carry
Punting
1 Punts45 Punt yards45.0 Yards/punt45 Long1 Inside 20

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume62
  • Dual-Threat61
  • Consistency36
  • Clutch33
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency36th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • ▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • ▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • ▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 1.08 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • ▸Peak game: 0.96 EPA/play in Wk 5 vs Akron (SP+ -14).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.960−0.96Wk 3 vs Morgan State: +0.43 EPA/play3Wk 5 vs Akron: +0.96 EPA/play5Wk 8 vs Kent State: +0.91 EPA/play8Wk 11 vs Northern Illinois: +0.05 EPA/play11Wk 13 vs Ball State: -0.88 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Central Michigan: +0.24 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
3vsMorgan StateW60-0—4/6300047.64910.43
5vsAkronW45-3-13.92/3420099.84210.96
8vsKent StateW45-10-19.34/4801096.83500.91
11vsNorthern IllinoisW42-3-16.70/200030.42600.05
13vsBall StateW38-9-23.00/20000.710-0.88
14@Central MichiganW21-3-8.85/71081062.15200.24
20vsLouisvilleL22-2712.417/281671053.1770—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
21.8%
Passing plays
27.7%
Rushing plays
17.3%
Standard downs
19.7%
Passing downs
27.3%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.10
Passing downs
0.06
Pass / Rush EPA
0.01 / 0.21

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.