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Jayden Brown

Jayden Brown

Jayden Brown is a Pass-Catching Back for Colorado State.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jayden Brown's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2026 Production

Rushing
228 Rush yards2 Rush TD17 Carries13.4 Yards/carry
Receiving
3 Receptions10 Rec yards0 Rec TD3.3 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2026 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume46
  • Explosiveness100
  • Consistency50
  • Receiving79
Player type
Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among RBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 0.97 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Southern Utah.

NIL Market Tier· 2026

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.9700.97Wk 1 vs Wyoming: +0.06 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Southern Utah: +0.97 EPA/play2
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsWyomingW35-13-15.28577.102700.06
2vsSouthern UtahW58-24917119.021300.97

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
16.1%
Passing plays
7.0%
Rushing plays
26.6%
Standard downs
16.8%
Passing downs
13.9%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
-0.09
Passing downs
2.76
Pass / Rush EPA
-0.29 / 0.81

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.