#4Jalen Dupree

RB·Colorado State·2025

Jalen Dupree is a Committee Back for Colorado State. Jalen's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 115 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jalen Dupree's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

508 Rush yards2 Rush TD102 Carries5.0 Yards/carry

Receiving

12 Receptions83 Rec yards0 Rec TD6.9 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency0
Volume59
Explosiveness40
Consistency0
Receiving56

Player type

Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.15 EPA/play decline from first to second half.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	@Washington	L21-38	18.4	15	92	6.1	1	2	0	0	0.16
2	vsNorthern Colorado	W21-17	—	13	58	4.5	0	2	13	0	0.14
4	vsUTSA	L16-17	3.7	12	49	4.1	0	1	33	0	0.02
5	vsWashington State	L3-20	3.8	13	68	5.2	0	3	17	0	0.03
6	@San Diego State	L24-45	6.7	16	103	6.4	0	1	9	0	0.28
7	vsFresno State	W49-21	1.8	7	31	4.4	1	—	—	—	0.30
8	vsHawai'i	L19-31	1.7	7	28	4.0	0	2	14	0	-0.15
9	@Wyoming	L0-28	-11.3	6	23	3.8	0	1	-3	0	-0.33
11	vsUNLV	L10-42	4.3	13	56	4.3	0	—	—	—	-0.08

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

20.8%

Passing plays

6.4%

Rushing plays

35.3%

Standard downs

25.1%

Passing downs

12.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: -0.04
Passing downs: 0.50
Pass / Rush EPA: -0.02 / 0.08

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).