#13Jadan Baugh

RB·Florida·20251.4 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Jadan Baugh is a Featured Back for Florida. Jadan's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 239 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jadan Baugh's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

1170 Rush yards8 Rush TD220 Carries5.3 Yards/carry

Receiving

33 Receptions210 Rec yards2 Rec TD6.4 Yards/rec

Returns

4 Kick returns82 KR yards0 KR TD1 Punt returns6 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency0
Volume98
Explosiveness46
Consistency49
Receiving57

Player type

Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency49th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used RBs by play share.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.11 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.32 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Long Island University.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3
Eno Benjamin	Arizona State	2018	316	0.330	4.6	104.3
Donnel Pumphrey	San Diego State	2016	344	0.320	4.2	110.1

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsLong Island University	W55-0	—	9	104	11.6	1	—	—	—	1.32
2	vsSouth Florida	L16-18	11.6	18	93	5.2	0	—	—	—	0.07
3	@LSU	L10-20	10.3	10	46	4.6	0	7	59	0	0.30
4	@Miami	L7-26	20.7	12	46	3.8	1	3	9	0	0.11
6	vsTexas	W29-21	16.2	27	107	4.0	1	3	16	0	-0.07
7	@Texas A&M	L17-34	20.7	18	65	3.6	0	4	10	0	-0.13
8	vsMississippi State	W23-21	4.1	23	150	6.5	1	2	21	0	0.20
10	vsGeorgia	L20-24	24.1	15	72	4.8	1	3	17	0	-0.04
11	@Kentucky	L7-38	1.8	17	64	3.8	0	5	27	1	0.10
12	@Ole Miss	L24-34	24.0	15	61	4.1	1	4	16	0	0.03
13	vsTennessee	L11-31	15.0	18	96	5.3	0	2	35	1	0.30
14	vsFlorida State	W40-21	7.2	38	266	7.0	2	—	—	—	0.38

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

34.2%

Passing plays

10.8%

Rushing plays

59.1%

Standard downs

37.3%

Passing downs

26.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.15
Passing downs: 0.18
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.25 / 0.14

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2025 · 12 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.