#6Jacolby Criswell

QB·North Carolina·2024

Jacolby Criswell is a Dual-Threat QB for North Carolina. Jacolby's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 349 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jacolby Criswell's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Passing

186/320 Comp/Att2459 Pass yards15 Pass TD6 INT58.1% Comp %

Rushing

103 Rush yards3 Rush TD71 Carries1.5 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Dual-Threat100
Consistency15
Clutch95

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency15th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.21 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.70 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs Virginia (SP+ -5).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
2	vsCharlotte	W38-20	-15.3	1/1	2	0	0	0.6	-7	0	-1.12
3	vsNorth Carolina Central	W45-10	—	14/23	161	1	0	28.6	16	0	0.23
4	vsJames Madison	L50-70	7.5	28/48	475	3	2	70.2	5	0	0.56
5	@Duke	L20-21	5.6	21/39	251	2	1	55.8	26	0	0.23
6	vsPittsburgh	L24-34	4.9	24/45	269	1	0	56.9	14	0	0.19
7	vsGeorgia Tech	L34-41	1.9	17/31	209	1	0	51.7	73	2	0.39
9	@Virginia	W41-14	-5.1	19/30	293	2	0	93.4	27	0	0.70
10	@Florida State	W35-11	-3.2	13/17	211	1	0	93.2	18	0	0.63
12	vsWake Forest	W31-24	-5.7	14/22	132	1	0	21.8	-36	1	0.09
13	@Boston College	L21-41	1.2	16/30	176	0	3	4.3	-44	0	-0.37
14	vsNC State	L30-35	3.9	18/33	273	3	0	72.2	4	0	0.39
20	vsUConn	L14-27	1.5	1/1	7	0	0	54.2	7	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

47.3%

Passing plays

85.5%

Rushing plays

12.4%

Standard downs

37.5%

Passing downs

67.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.15
Passing downs: 0.43
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.24 / 0.55

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).