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Henry Hesson
Henry Hesson

#12Henry Hesson

QB·Miami (OH)·2025

Henry Hesson is a Clutch Passer for Miami (OH). Henry's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 120 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Henry Hesson's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing
39/98 Comp/Att596 Pass yards4 Pass TD3 INT39.8% Comp %
Rushing
-6 Rush yards0 Rush TD22 Carries-0.3 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume100
  • Dual-Threat0
  • Consistency0
  • Clutch100
Player type
Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • ▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • ▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • ▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Peak game: 0.35 EPA/play in Wk 5 vs Lindenwood.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.350−0.35Wk 4 vs UNLV: +0.33 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Lindenwood: +0.35 EPA/play5Wk 12 vs Toledo: -0.34 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Buffalo: -0.27 EPA/play13Wk 15 vs Western Michigan: -0.03 EPA/play15
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
4vsUNLVL38-414.38/171341067.8——0.33
5vsLindenwoodW38-0—13/212082021.51300.35
12vsToledoL3-246.011/38147039.790-0.34
13@BuffaloW37-20-7.50/20001.1-30-0.27
15vsWestern MichiganL13-23-1.47/201071010.6-250-0.03

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
36.4%
Passing plays
65.3%
Rushing plays
7.5%
Standard downs
30.7%
Passing downs
47.0%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
-0.18
Passing downs
0.14
Pass / Rush EPA
-0.01 / -0.27

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.