#2Gavin Wimsatt

QB·Jacksonville State·2025

Gavin Wimsatt is a Dual-Threat QB for Jacksonville State. Gavin's 2025 season ranks in the 3th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 161 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Gavin Wimsatt's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing

63/112 Comp/Att731 Pass yards4 Pass TD2 INT56.3% Comp %

Rushing

263 Rush yards4 Rush TD52 Carries5.1 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Efficiency3
Volume57
Dual-Threat100
Consistency33
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)3th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency33th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 1.77 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 6.60 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs Kennesaw State (SP+ -5).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	@UCF	L10-17	-1.2	15/29	139	0	1	39.7	28	0	-0.09
2	vsLiberty	W34-24	-9.0	6/12	52	0	0	55.3	78	1	0.28
3	@Georgia Southern	L34-41	-9.4	16/24	178	1	1	59.9	59	2	0.39
4	vsMurray State	W45-10	—	17/31	188	1	0	44.7	50	1	0.32
5	@Southern Miss	L25-42	-7.1	4/8	19	0	0	7.7	22	0	-0.22
8	vsDelaware	W38-25	-10.9	2/3	17	0	0	38.7	-2	0	-0.30
10	@Middle Tennessee	W24-21	-16.0	2/2	76	1	0	100.0	9	0	2.06
12	vsKennesaw State	W35-26	-5.4	1/1	62	1	0	100.0	—	—	6.60
13	@Florida International	L21-27	-10.5	0/1	0	0	0	41.8	—	—	-0.85
14	vsWestern Kentucky	W37-34	1.6	—	—	—	—	—	10	0	0.75
15	vsKennesaw State	L15-19	-5.4	—	—	—	—	—	9	0	0.63
20	vsTroy	W17-13	-4.8	0/1	0	0	0	0.0	—	—	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

20.0%

Passing plays

39.8%

Rushing plays

9.1%

Standard downs

17.2%

Passing downs

26.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.10
Passing downs: 0.53
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.20 / 0.41

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).