Frank Harris

QB·UTSA·2022 20219.5 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Frank Harris is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for UTSA. Frank's 2021 season ranks in the 63th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 489 plays — a average rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Frank Harris's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2021 Production

Passing

263/398 Comp/Att3177 Pass yards27 Pass TD6 INT66.1% Comp %

Rushing

566 Rush yards6 Rush TD109 Carries5.2 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2021 · vs QB peers

Efficiency63
Volume100
Dual-Threat100
Consistency83
Clutch68

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)63th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency83th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸8 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.97 EPA/play in Wk 8 vs Louisiana Tech (SP+ -12).

NIL Market Tier· 2021

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Stetson Bennett	Georgia	2022	509	0.635	12.5	323.0
Kyle McCord	Syracuse	2024	632	0.509	12.1	321.4
Tanner Mordecai	SMU	2021	510	0.630	14.0	321.5
Sam Hartman	Wake Forest	2021	647	0.556	11.8	359.6
Ryan Higgins	Louisiana Tech	2016	571	0.586	13.7	334.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	@Illinois	W37-30	4.3	20/32	280	1	0	85.0	33	1	0.53
2	vsLamar	W54-0	—	13/15	118	0	0	50.2	3	0	0.26
3	vsMiddle Tennessee	W27-13	-4.0	24/39	264	2	2	60.0	56	0	0.41
4	@Memphis	W31-28	1.0	18/28	186	1	0	37.5	-1	0	0.33
5	vsUNLV	W24-17	-13.8	24/30	278	2	0	73.5	22	0	0.47
6	@Western Kentucky	W52-46	13.3	28/38	349	6	1	89.4	51	0	0.60
7	vsRice	W45-0	-22.9	12/19	125	2	0	91.3	47	1	0.47
8	@Louisiana Tech	W45-16	-11.6	12/19	193	2	0	86.6	59	0	0.97
10	@UTEP	W44-23	-4.2	22/34	286	2	0	87.4	76	2	0.72
11	vsSouthern Miss	W27-17	-14.2	17/30	227	2	2	35.4	54	0	-0.07
12	vsUAB	W34-31	9.1	25/36	323	3	0	71.9	-13	0	0.30
13	@North Texas	L23-45	-6.5	7/14	59	0	0	49.9	97	1	0.19
14	vsWestern Kentucky	W49-41	13.3	19/28	218	2	0	94.9	81	1	0.68
1	vsSan Diego State	L24-38	8.3	22/36	271	2	1	74.9	1	0	0.25

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

49.7%

Passing plays

87.8%

Rushing plays

17.4%

Standard downs

43.4%

Passing downs

65.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.39
Passing downs: 0.53
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.43 / 0.46

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2021 — 2022 · 28 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2021	UTSA	9.5	0.557	—	287.7
2022	UTSA	10.3	0.514	-0.04	298.2

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.