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Frank Harris

Frank Harris

QB·UTSA·2022202110.3 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Frank Harris is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for UTSA. Frank's 2022 season ranks in the 53th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 566 plays — a average rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Frank Harris's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2022 Production

Passing
328/471 Comp/Att4059 Pass yards32 Pass TD9 INT69.6% Comp %
Rushing
600 Rush yards9 Rush TD128 Carries4.7 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2022 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency53
  • Volume100
  • Dual-Threat100
  • Consistency85
  • Clutch86
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)53th %ile · average
Game-to-game consistency85th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 10 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 0.88 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs Rice (SP+ -15).

NIL Market Tier· 2022

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Kyle McCordSyracuse0.50912.1321.4
Sam HartmanWake Forest0.55611.8359.6
Trace McSorleyPenn State0.51312.7321.0
Stetson BennettGeorgia0.63512.5323.0
Jordan TravisFlorida State0.47610.1328.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.8800.88Wk 1 vs Houston: +0.44 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Army: +0.46 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Texas: +0.21 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Texas Southern: +0.81 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Middle Tennessee: +0.79 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Western Kentucky: +0.46 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Florida International: +0.34 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs North Texas: +0.36 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs UAB: +0.55 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Louisiana Tech: +0.60 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Rice: +0.88 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs UTEP: +0.77 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs North Texas: +0.49 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs Troy: -0.11 EPA/play1
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsHoustonL35-374.528/433373173.56310.44
2@ArmyW41-38-1.532/453593086.83000.46
3@TexasL20-4123.124/352220157.93800.21
4vsTexas SouthernW52-2420/313924083.63110.81
5@Middle TennesseeW45-30-6.927/364142393.53120.79
6vsWestern KentuckyW31-281.724/352731084.56110.46
7@Florida InternationalW30-10-25.524/353032053.2-1000.34
8vsNorth TexasW31-27-1.527/392382147.57500.36
10@UABW44-38-0.522/312854094.33500.55
11vsLouisiana TechW51-7-17.818/262161091.14700.60
12@RiceW41-7-15.211/141032198.712430.88
13vsUTEPW34-31-10.716/223823077.11400.77
14vsNorth TexasW48-27-1.532/37341404910.49
1vsTroyL12-188.123/421941233.2120-0.11

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
56.5%
Passing plays
92.7%
Rushing plays
20.3%
Standard downs
51.6%
Passing downs
69.5%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.38
Passing downs
0.61
Pass / Rush EPA
0.44 / 0.54

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+1.080−0.222022
EPA per play · 2021 — 2022 · 28 games
SeasonTeamLine valueTotal EPA
2021UTSA
9.5
287.7
2022UTSA
10.3
298.2

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.