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Emmett Mosley V

#3Emmett Mosley V

WR·Texas·2025

Emmett Mosley V is a Slot Specialist WR for Texas. Emmett's 2025 season produced 25.9 total EPA across 44 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Emmett Mosley V's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving
28 Receptions408 Rec yards3 Rec TD14.6 Yards/rec

Air yards

Where the ball goes, and how much of the gain is the throw rather than the run after it.

6
Targets
6.8y
Avg depth
4.0y
After catch
50%
Catch rate

The ball travels 6.8 yards in the air on an average target 2.2 yards shorter than the median. Another 4.0 comes after the catch.

Where he is targeted

targets · completion rate · yards
deep
0
0
0
short
4
50% · 25y
1
100% · 12y
1
0% · 0y
leftmiddleright

Depth and direction come from CFBD’s passing detail, which is backfilled after the games: this covers weeks 1–2 only. Spikes, throwaways and intentional grounding are excluded before any average.

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume23
  • Explosiveness50
  • Consistency0
  • Pass-Down0
Player type
Slot Specialist WR

The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.

3rd-down converterRoute technicianHigh passing-down share
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • 3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.35 from the first to second half of the season.
  • Peak game: 0.83 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs Mississippi State (SP+ 4).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Quadree HendersonPittsburgh0.5301.633.4
DeAndre HughesAir Force0.4701.328.2
Savion WilliamsTCU0.4501.125.2
Keytaon ThompsonMississippi State0.4601.232.2
Javion PoseyFlorida Atlantic0.4501.423.8

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.8300.83Wk 6 vs Florida: -0.61 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Oklahoma: -0.22 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Kentucky: -0.37 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Mississippi State: +0.83 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Vanderbilt: +0.58 EPA/play10Wk 12 vs Georgia: +0.12 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Arkansas: +0.82 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Texas A&M: -0.15 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
6@FloridaL21-293.524020.0022-0.61
7vsOklahomaW23-618.3188.008-0.22
8@KentuckyW16-131.813131.0031-0.37
9@Mississippi StateW45-384.145313.32210.83
10vsVanderbiltW34-3120.37699.91180.58
12@GeorgiaL10-3524.136622.00400.12
13vsArkansasW52-375.148120.30300.82
14vsTexas A&MW27-1720.7199.009-0.15
20vsMichiganW41-2712.455110.2020

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
7.9%
Passing plays
14.2%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
6.2%
Passing downs
11.0%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.86
Passing downs
0.32
Pass / Rush EPA
0.59 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.