#2DJ Epps

WR·Troy·2025

DJ Epps is a Versatile WR for Troy. DJ's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 76 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So DJ Epps's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving

46 Receptions498 Rec yards5 Rec TD10.8 Yards/rec

Returns

24 Kick returns554 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Efficiency100
Volume23
Explosiveness26
Consistency0
Pass-Down62

Player type

Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.49 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.30 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs South Alabama (SP+ -13).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Justin Lynch	Temple	2021	63	0.240	0.3	15.1
Samajie Grant	Arizona	2016	62	0.250	0.3	15.5
Davis Bryson	Kennesaw State	2024	97	0.200	0.0	19.4
Tyler Buchner	Notre Dame	2021	51	0.250	0.3	12.8
Amare Jones	Tulane	2020	71	0.180	0.0	12.8

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	vsNicholls	W38-20	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.60
2	@Clemson	L16-27	9.5	3	30	10.0	0	17	0.69
3	vsMemphis	L7-28	7.6	—	—	—	—	—	-0.45
4	@Buffalo	W21-17	-7.5	2	18	9.0	0	14	-0.63
6	vsSouth Alabama	W31-24	-12.7	5	59	11.8	1	22	1.30
7	@Texas State	W48-41	2.3	10	148	14.8	2	48	0.57
9	vsLouisiana	W35-23	-10.1	3	24	8.0	0	13	0.60
10	vsArkansas State	L10-23	-8.8	2	0	0.0	0	4	-0.55
12	@Old Dominion	L0-33	5.9	1	8	8.0	0	8	-0.52
13	vsGeorgia State	W31-19	-24.5	8	103	12.9	2	35	0.33
14	@Southern Miss	W28-18	-7.1	6	40	6.7	0	9	0.13
15	@James Madison	L14-31	12.3	4	50	12.5	0	20	-0.09
20	vsJacksonville State	L13-17	-6.7	2	18	9.0	0	18	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

8.2%

Passing plays

15.3%

Rushing plays

0.9%

Standard downs

6.8%

Passing downs

11.0%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.21
Passing downs: 0.28
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.24 / 0.24

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).