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Devontae Houston
Devontae Houston

#3Devontae Houston

RB·UConn·2023

Devontae Houston is a Committee Back for UConn. Devontae's 2023 season produced 3.1 total EPA across 38 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Devontae Houston's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Rushing
161 Rush yards0 Rush TD34 Carries4.7 Yards/carry
Receiving
4 Receptions59 Rec yards1 Rec TD14.8 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume42
  • Explosiveness34
  • Consistency0
  • Receiving38
Player type
Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.5800.58Wk 1 vs NC State: +0.11 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Georgia State: -0.58 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Florida International: +0.31 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Duke: -0.10 EPA/play4
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsNC StateL14-247.47243.4032200.11
2@Georgia StateL14-35-6.8791.30-0.58
3vsFlorida InternationalL17-24-21.2191266.6013710.31
4vsDukeL7-419.4122.00-0.10

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
14.7%
Passing plays
3.1%
Rushing plays
26.4%
Standard downs
18.7%
Passing downs
8.7%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.07
Passing downs
0.14
Pass / Rush EPA
1.25 / -0.05

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.