#33Deion Hankins

RB·UTEP·2023

Deion Hankins is a Explosive Back for UTEP. Deion's 2023 season ranks in the 3th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 156 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Deion Hankins's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Rushing

812 Rush yards5 Rush TD157 Carries5.2 Yards/carry

Receiving

7 Receptions71 Rec yards0 Rec TD10.1 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs RB peers

Efficiency3
Volume57
Explosiveness44
Consistency38
Receiving15

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)3th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency38th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.14 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.59 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs Sam Houston (SP+ -14).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
0	@Jacksonville State	L14-17	-1.6	15	54	3.6	1	—	—	—	—
1	vsIncarnate Word	W28-14	—	24	174	7.3	0	1	11	0	0.43
2	@Northwestern	L7-38	-1.3	7	27	3.9	0	—	—	—	-0.24
3	@Arizona	L10-31	14.1	9	34	3.8	0	1	0	0	-0.05
4	vsUNLV	L28-45	1.4	3	8	2.7	0	—	—	—	-0.22
5	vsLouisiana Tech	L10-24	-12.9	15	83	5.5	0	—	—	—	0.39
7	@Florida International	W27-14	-21.2	19	62	3.3	1	—	—	—	0.03
8	vsNew Mexico State	L7-28	-1.8	16	120	7.5	0	2	13	0	0.44
9	@Sam Houston	W37-34	-13.8	15	117	7.8	1	—	—	—	0.59
10	vsWestern Kentucky	L13-21	-2.0	16	67	4.2	0	1	3	0	-0.18
12	@Middle Tennessee	L30-34	-9.5	13	48	3.7	1	1	35	0	0.07
13	vsLiberty	L28-42	8.0	5	18	3.6	1	1	9	0	0.26

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

20.1%

Passing plays

1.7%

Rushing plays

36.5%

Standard downs

25.6%

Passing downs

8.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.16
Passing downs: 0.43
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.69 / 0.17

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).