#4Deion Burks

WR·Oklahoma·2025

Deion Burks is a Versatile WR for Oklahoma. Deion's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 86 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Deion Burks's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving

57 Receptions620 Rec yards4 Rec TD10.9 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Efficiency100
Volume29
Explosiveness26
Consistency34
Pass-Down100

Player type

Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency34th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.14 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.94 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs Texas (SP+ 16).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Malik Dunner	Ball State	2017	76	0.290	0.4	22.0
Noah Short	Army	2024	69	0.300	0.5	20.7
Chris Tyree	Notre Dame	2020	76	0.310	0.6	23.6
Xavier White	Texas Tech	2020	62	0.300	0.5	18.6
Samajie Grant	Arizona	2016	62	0.250	0.3	15.5

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	vsIllinois State	W35-3	—	7	88	12.6	1	28	0.83
2	vsMichigan	W24-13	12.4	7	101	14.4	1	34	0.35
3	@Temple	W42-3	-5.1	3	36	12.0	0	20	0.14
4	vsAuburn	W24-17	11.6	6	40	6.7	0	12	0.01
6	vsKent State	W44-0	-19.3	2	10	5.0	0	6	-0.58
7	vsTexas	L6-23	16.2	5	64	12.8	0	21	0.94
8	@South Carolina	W26-7	5.9	2	19	9.5	0	11	0.52
9	vsOle Miss	L26-34	24.0	4	32	8.0	0	15	0.91
10	@Tennessee	W33-27	15.0	6	45	7.5	0	12	0.15
12	@Alabama	W23-21	14.8	2	19	9.5	0	18	-0.34
13	vsMissouri	W17-6	14.4	2	-2	-1.0	0	1	-0.68
14	vsLSU	W17-13	10.3	4	61	15.3	1	45	0.67
20	vsAlabama	L24-34	14.8	7	107	15.3	1	37	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

10.1%

Passing plays

18.2%

Rushing plays

1.5%

Standard downs

10.5%

Passing downs

9.3%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.11
Passing downs: 0.70
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.36 / -0.68

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).