Clayton Coppock

WR·Kennesaw State·2025

Clayton Coppock is a Slot Specialist WR for Kennesaw State. Clayton's 2025 season produced 13.4 total EPA across 44 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Clayton Coppock's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

47 Rush yards1 Rush TD12 Carries3.9 Yards/carry

Receiving

28 Receptions311 Rec yards5 Rec TD11.1 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Efficiency100
Volume18
Explosiveness27
Consistency35
Pass-Down87

Player type

Slot Specialist WR

The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.

3rd-down converterRoute technicianHigh passing-down share

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency35th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.30 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.71 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs Louisiana Tech (SP+ -1).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Keytaon Thompson	Virginia	2020	39	0.320	0.4	12.5
Nick Nash	San José State	2021	45	0.310	0.5	14.0
Ainias Smith	Texas A&M	2020	55	0.310	0.5	17.0
Cade Harris	Air Force	2024	45	0.330	0.5	14.8
Xavier White	Texas Tech	2020	62	0.300	0.5	18.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
5	vsMiddle Tennessee	W24-16	-16.0	2	19	9.5	0	18	1.16
7	vsLouisiana Tech	W35-7	-1.3	4	30	7.5	1	11	1.71
9	@Florida International	W45-26	-10.5	—	—	—	—	—	-0.98
10	vsUTEP	W33-20	-17.5	3	26	8.7	0	19	0.35
11	@New Mexico State	W24-21	-15.5	2	64	32.0	1	55	0.09
12	@Jacksonville State	L26-35	-6.7	5	48	9.6	1	12	0.29
13	vsMissouri State	W41-34	-10.7	4	87	21.8	2	32	0.43
14	@Liberty	W48-42	-9.0	3	9	3.0	0	6	-0.09
15	@Jacksonville State	W19-15	-6.7	3	21	7.0	0	10	0.02
20	vsWestern Michigan	L6-41	-1.4	2	7	3.5	0	9	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

6.4%

Passing plays

10.5%

Rushing plays

3.3%

Standard downs

5.0%

Passing downs

9.3%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.20
Passing downs: 0.42
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.36 / 0.14

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).