#0Bryson Graves

WR·Coastal Carolina·2025

Bryson Graves is a Slot Specialist WR for Coastal Carolina. Bryson's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 55 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Bryson Graves's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving

35 Receptions330 Rec yards2 Rec TD9.4 Yards/rec

Returns

18 Punt returns115 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Efficiency100
Volume21
Explosiveness16
Consistency0
Pass-Down70

Player type

Slot Specialist WR

The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.

3rd-down converterRoute technicianHigh passing-down share

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.36 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 1.24 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs Georgia Southern (SP+ -9).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Tyler Buchner	Notre Dame	2021	51	0.250	0.3	12.8
Samajie Grant	Arizona	2016	62	0.250	0.3	15.5
Justin Lynch	Temple	2021	63	0.240	0.3	15.1
Brandon Chatman	Navy	2025	52	0.230	0.6	12.0
Xavier White	Texas Tech	2020	62	0.300	0.5	18.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	@Virginia	L7-48	11.1	1	10	10.0	0	10	-0.42
2	vsCharleston Southern	W13-0	—	5	61	12.2	0	21	0.76
3	vsEast Carolina	L0-38	8.0	3	24	8.0	0	11	-0.13
4	@South Alabama	W38-20	-12.7	5	35	7.0	0	24	0.27
6	@Old Dominion	L7-47	5.9	1	2	2.0	0	2	-0.67
7	vsUL Monroe	W23-8	-21.6	1	5	5.0	0	5	-0.19
8	@App State	W45-37	-11.4	3	21	7.0	0	8	0.13
10	vsMarshall	W44-27	-4.5	2	39	19.5	1	22	0.94
11	vsGeorgia State	W40-27	-24.5	—	—	—	—	—	—
12	@Georgia Southern	L40-45	-9.4	1	2	2.0	0	2	1.24
13	@South Carolina	L7-51	5.9	4	11	2.8	0	7	-0.92
14	vsJames Madison	L10-59	12.3	3	21	7.0	1	12	-0.05
20	vsLouisiana Tech	L14-23	-1.3	6	99	16.5	0	39	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

7.4%

Passing plays

14.6%

Rushing plays

0.7%

Standard downs

5.6%

Passing downs

10.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.20
Passing downs: 0.31
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.32 / -0.90

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).