#12Brock Vandagriff

QB·Kentucky·2024

Brock Vandagriff is a Dual-Threat QB for Kentucky. Brock's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 305 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Brock Vandagriff's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Passing

125/218 Comp/Att1593 Pass yards10 Pass TD8 INT57.3% Comp %

Rushing

131 Rush yards0 Rush TD90 Carries1.5 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Dual-Threat55
Consistency59
Clutch56

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency59th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Peak game: 0.55 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs Murray State.

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	EPA/play
1	vsSouthern Miss	W31-0	-25.6	12/18	169	3	1	82.6	35	0.52
2	vsSouth Carolina	L6-31	16.9	3/10	30	0	1	1.2	-29	-0.37
3	vsGeorgia	L12-13	24.3	14/27	114	0	0	54.3	26	-0.01
4	vsOhio	W41-6	2.3	17/24	237	0	0	79.1	21	0.43
5	@Ole Miss	W20-17	27.9	18/28	243	1	0	75.3	3	0.30
7	vsVanderbilt	L13-20	4.9	15/25	158	1	0	63.7	37	0.30
8	@Florida	L20-48	13.8	12/26	165	1	2	43.6	33	0.13
9	vsAuburn	L10-24	9.5	9/17	120	0	1	18.1	-18	0.01
10	@Tennessee	L18-28	22.0	10/17	123	1	1	60.6	14	0.14
12	vsMurray State	W48-6	—	12/19	183	2	1	81.5	16	0.55
13	@Texas	L14-31	24.1	3/7	51	1	1	55.2	-7	0.07

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

44.3%

Passing plays

74.8%

Rushing plays

18.7%

Standard downs

37.1%

Passing downs

59.1%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.17
Passing downs: 0.26
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.22 / 0.17

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).