#87Brett Norfleet

TE·Missouri·2025

Brett Norfleet is a Versatile TE for Missouri. Brett's 2025 season produced 13.8 total EPA across 47 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · TEs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.42
Beats guessing the TE average by 9%. n=2,225 TE seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.04
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=2,016 TE seasons
Total EPA (value)0.46
Beats guessing the TE average by 13%. n=2,016 TE seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Brett Norfleet's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving

31 Receptions254 Rec yards5 Rec TD8.2 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs TE peers

Efficiency100
Volume17
Explosiveness8
Consistency0
Pass-Down48

Player type

Versatile TE

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.63 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.14 EPA/play in Wk 5 vs Massachusetts (SP+ -37).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Johnny Langan	Rutgers	2020	59	0.300	0.0	17.7
Jordan Myers	Rice	2021	59	0.270	0.2	15.9
Johnny Langan	Rutgers	2021	37	0.240	0.0	8.9
Evan Svoboda	Wyoming	2024	75	0.290	0.5	21.8
D'Vaughn Pennamon	Ole Miss	2017	55	0.200	0.0	11.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	vsCentral Arkansas	W61-6	—	3	9	3.0	1	8	0.07
2	vsKansas	W42-31	4.1	7	76	10.9	2	27	1.02
3	vsLouisiana	W52-10	-10.1	1	2	2.0	0	2	-0.46
4	vsSouth Carolina	W29-20	5.9	3	35	11.7	0	25	0.21
5	vsMassachusetts	W42-6	-36.6	6	52	8.7	1	16	1.14
7	vsAlabama	L24-27	14.8	3	38	12.7	1	26	0.78
8	@Auburn	W23-17	11.6	2	9	4.5	0	10	0.07
9	@Vanderbilt	L10-17	20.3	1	3	3.0	0	3	-0.53
12	vsMississippi State	W49-27	4.1	1	6	6.0	0	6	-0.08
13	@Oklahoma	L6-17	18.3	2	11	5.5	0	6	-0.19
14	@Arkansas	W31-17	5.1	2	13	6.5	0	13	-0.41

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

5.8%

Passing plays

13.7%

Rushing plays

0.0%

Standard downs

5.7%

Passing downs

5.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.30
Passing downs: 0.28
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.29 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).