#10Ben Finley

QB·California·2023

Ben Finley is a Clutch Passer for California. Ben's 2023 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 95 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Ben Finley's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Passing

54/94 Comp/Att575 Pass yards3 Pass TD4 INT57.4% Comp %

Rushing

8 Rush yards0 Rush TD12 Carries0.7 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume65
Dual-Threat17
Consistency0
Clutch100

Player type

Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.47 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.57 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs North Texas (SP+ -7).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	@North Texas	W58-21	-6.7	24/34	289	1	1	78.0	9	0	0.57
2	vsAuburn	L10-14	7.6	7/11	34	0	0	23.3	-5	0	-0.18
3	vsIdaho	W31-17	—	1/2	6	0	0	95.5	—	—	0.43
4	@Washington	L32-59	16.4	17/32	207	2	3	35.5	14	0	-0.10
7	@Utah	L14-34	8.5	5/14	39	0	0	32.2	-10	0	-0.19
12	@Stanford	W27-15	-11.9	0/1	0	0	0	1.7	—	—	-0.30

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

22.6%

Passing plays

43.2%

Rushing plays

3.4%

Standard downs

19.2%

Passing downs

30.1%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: -0.14
Passing downs: 0.39
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.09 / -0.01

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).