#1Angel Johnson

RB·Washington State·2025

Angel Johnson is a Committee Back for Washington State. Angel's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 78 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Angel Johnson's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

252 Rush yards1 Rush TD75 Carries3.4 Yards/carry

Receiving

7 Receptions55 Rec yards0 Rec TD7.9 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency0
Volume28
Explosiveness8
Consistency0
Receiving39

Player type

Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.28 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 1.15 EPA/play in Wk 14 vs Oregon State (SP+ -16).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsIdaho	W13-10	—	10	-4	-0.4	0	—	—	—	-0.36
2	vsSan Diego State	W36-13	6.7	8	28	3.5	0	2	35	0	0.22
3	@North Texas	L10-59	13.8	5	8	1.6	0	1	-2	0	-0.41
4	vsWashington	L24-59	18.4	9	11	1.2	0	—	—	—	-0.49
5	@Colorado State	W20-3	-15.6	8	32	4.0	0	—	—	—	0.08
7	@Ole Miss	L21-24	24.0	7	21	3.0	0	—	—	—	-0.40
8	@Virginia	L20-22	11.1	5	33	6.6	0	1	3	0	0.37
9	vsToledo	W28-7	6.0	4	-1	-0.3	0	—	—	—	-0.74
10	@Oregon State	L7-10	-15.9	4	30	7.5	0	—	—	—	0.36
12	vsLouisiana Tech	W28-3	-1.3	5	6	1.2	0	—	—	—	-0.23
13	@James Madison	L20-24	12.3	—	—	—	—	1	3	0	-0.28
14	vsOregon State	W32-8	-15.9	4	64	16.0	1	1	10	0	1.15
20	vsUtah State	W34-21	-3.1	6	24	4.0	0	1	6	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

9.7%

Passing plays

2.1%

Rushing plays

17.7%

Standard downs

12.2%

Passing downs

4.3%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: -0.15
Passing downs: -0.15
Pass / Rush EPA: -0.08 / -0.16

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).