Nikolas Matinpalo vs Brayden Point
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Senators · DNikolas MatinpaloChange first player
Senators skaters
- William Eklund
- Stephen Halliday
- Michael Amadio
- Drake Batherson
- Shane Pinto
- Tim Stützle
- Thomas Chabot
- Dylan Cozens
- Claude Giroux
- Hayden Hodgson
- Jordan Spence
- Carter Yakemchuk
- Fabian Zetterlund
- Nikolas Matinpalo
- Tyler Kleven
- Nick Cousins
- Warren Foegele
- Jake Sanderson
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Lightning · CBrayden PointChange second player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Brayden Point
- Pontus Holmberg
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- Jake Guentzel
- J.J. Moser
- John Carlson
- Anthony Cirelli
- Erik Cernak
- Jansen Harkins
- Jeffrey Viel
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Victor Hedman
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Emil Lilleberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Brayden Point is ahead on 6 of 9 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Brayden Point sits in the 88th percentile, Nikolas Matinpalo the 6th.
| Measure | Matinpalo | Point |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 0 | 1 |
| Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Assists | 0 | 1 |
| Ice time per game | 18:48 | 21:35 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.016 pct | 0.3488 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 1.018 pct | 4.591 pct |
| Goals above expected | 0.065 pct | −0.78 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | — | 55.9%61 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | — | 2.6664 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | — | 2.1058 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.0544 pct | −0.0727 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.0234 pct | +0.0849 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0862 pct | −0.1516 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →