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Adam Fantilli vs Erik Cernak

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Adam Fantilli is ahead on 8 of 12 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Adam Fantilli sits in the 85th percentile, Erik Cernak the 32nd.

MeasureFantilliCernak
Scoring · NHL
Points10
Goals10
Assists00
Ice time per game19:0018:17
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1557 pct0.1147 pct
Shot attempts per game2.560 pct3.072 pct
Goals above expected+0.785 pct−0.232 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share52.0%51 pct55.3%60 pct
Chances for per 601.7224 pct2.8669 pct
Chances against per 601.5882 pct2.3148 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.0727 pct−0.396 pct
Creates per 60+0.1051 pct−0.482 pct
Prevents per 60−0.1714 pct+0.0964 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →