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Dylan Guenther vs Cale Makar

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Dylan Guenther is ahead on 7 of 12 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Dylan Guenther sits in the 89th percentile, Cale Makar the 24th.

MeasureGuentherMakar
Scoring · NHL
Points53
Goals31
Assists22
Ice time per game15:4319:09
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.4696 pct0.2780 pct
Shot attempts per game5.093 pct2.560 pct
Goals above expected+1.698 pct+0.578 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share59.0%69 pct70.7%93 pct
Chances for per 603.1079 pct3.3086 pct
Chances against per 602.1655 pct1.3789 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.3981 pct+0.0746 pct
Creates per 60+0.4289 pct−0.0924 pct
Prevents per 60−0.0238 pct+0.1680 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →