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Kirill Marchenko vs Trent Frederic

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Kirill Marchenko is ahead on 11 of 12 measures. The widest gap is chance share: Kirill Marchenko sits in the 90th percentile, Trent Frederic the 15th.

MeasureMarchenkoFrederic
Scoring · NHL
Points21
Goals11
Assists10
Ice time per game19:179:30
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.3892 pct0.1763 pct
Shot attempts per game4.389 pct1.018 pct
Goals above expected−0.142 pct+0.579 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share68.2%90 pct34.5%15 pct
Chances for per 603.4289 pct1.7526 pct
Chances against per 601.6081 pct3.3314 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.4484 pct+0.2162 pct
Creates per 60+0.3685 pct+0.1965 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0864 pct+0.0248 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →