Skip to content

Mark Kastelic vs Jordan Spence

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Jordan Spence is ahead on 6 of 10 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Jordan Spence sits in the 93rd percentile, Mark Kastelic the 29th.

MeasureKastelicSpence
Scoring · NHL
Points30
Goals10
Assists20
Ice time per game11:0822:30
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.018 pct0.1045 pct
Shot attempts per game1.018 pct3.072 pct
Goals above expected0.060 pct−0.147 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share67.3%88 pct—
Chances for per 602.3050 pct—
Chances against per 601.1293 pct—
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 600.0036 pct+0.7897 pct
Creates per 60−0.0529 pct+0.5293 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0553 pct+0.2690 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →