Cale Makar vs Erik Cernak
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Avalanche · DCale MakarChange first player
Avalanche skaters
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Martin Necas
- Artturi Lehkonen
- Nicolas Roy
- Jaden Schwartz
- Cale Makar
- Nazem Kadri
- T.J. Hughes
- Fedor Svechkov
- Sam Malinski
- Brock Nelson
- Parker Kelly
- Brent Burns
- Gabriel Landeskog
- Josh Manson
- Noah Juulsen
- Devon Toews
- Brett Kulak
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Lightning · DErik CernakChange second player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Brayden Point
- Pontus Holmberg
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- Jake Guentzel
- J.J. Moser
- John Carlson
- Anthony Cirelli
- Erik Cernak
- Jansen Harkins
- Jeffrey Viel
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Victor Hedman
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Emil Lilleberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Cale Makar is ahead on 12 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Cale Makar sits in the 78th percentile, Erik Cernak the 32nd.
| Measure | Makar | Cernak |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 3 | 0 |
| Goals | 1 | 0 |
| Assists | 2 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 19:09 | 18:17 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.2780 pct | 0.1147 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 2.560 pct | 3.072 pct |
| Goals above expected | +0.578 pct | −0.232 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 70.7%93 pct | 55.3%60 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.3086 pct | 2.8669 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.3789 pct | 2.3148 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.0746 pct | −0.396 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.0924 pct | −0.482 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1680 pct | +0.0964 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →