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Matt Roy vs Nate Schmidt

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Nate Schmidt is ahead on 11 of 12 measures. The widest gap is chance share: Nate Schmidt sits in the 79th percentile, Matt Roy the 29th.

MeasureRoySchmidt
Scoring · NHL
Points01
Goals00
Assists01
Ice time per game18:2621:03
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0944 pct0.0529 pct
Shot attempts per game0.57 pct1.739 pct
Goals above expected−0.235 pct−0.238 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share41.7%29 pct62.4%79 pct
Chances for per 601.7324 pct2.5961 pct
Chances against per 602.4243 pct1.5683 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.1151 pct+0.4584 pct
Creates per 60−0.1023 pct+0.1459 pct
Prevents per 60+0.2186 pct+0.3194 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →