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Noah Juulsen vs Dawson Mercer

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Dawson Mercer is ahead on 9 of 10 measures. The widest gap is chances for per 60: Dawson Mercer sits in the 90th percentile, Noah Juulsen the 15th.

MeasureJuulsenMercer
Scoring · NHL
Points00
Goals00
Assists00
Ice time per game11:0515:35
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0215 pct0.3287 pct
Shot attempts per game1.018 pct4.591 pct
Goals above expected0.057 pct−0.69 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share29.4%6 pct62.0%78 pct
Chances for per 601.4415 pct3.5290 pct
Chances against per 603.4612 pct2.1654 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.552 pct+0.3072 pct
Creates per 60−0.442 pct+0.2067 pct
Prevents per 60−0.1122 pct+0.1169 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →