Sebastian Aho vs Mitch Marner
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Hurricanes · CSebastian AhoChange first player
Hurricanes skaters
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Sebastian Aho
- Jackson Blake
- Logan Stankoven
- Nikolaj Ehlers
- William Carrier
- Jordan Staal
- Shayne Gostisbehere
- Taylor Hall
- Jordan Martinook
- Jaccob Slavin
- Sean Walker
- Eric Robinson
- Mark Jankowski
- K'Andre Miller
- Jalen Chatfield
- Charles Alexis Legault
- Mike Reilly
- Jesperi Kotkaniemi
- Nicolas Deslauriers
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Golden Knights · RMitch MarnerChange second player
Golden Knights skaters
- Tomas Hertl
- Brett Howden
- Mitch Marner
- William Karlsson
- Trevor Connelly
- Victor Olofsson
- Jack Eichel
- Braeden Bowman
- Mark Stone
- Marc Gatcomb
- Noah Hanifin
- Shea Theodore
- Rasmus Andersson
- Ivan Barbashev
- Nic Dowd
- Jeremy Lauzon
- Brayden McNabb
- Parker Wotherspoon
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Sebastian Aho is ahead on 8 of 12 measures. The widest gap is chances against per 60: Mitch Marner sits in the 96th percentile, Sebastian Aho the 65th.
| Measure | Aho | Marner |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 4 | 2 |
| Goals | 3 | 1 |
| Assists | 1 | 1 |
| Ice time per game | 20:02 | 21:53 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.4294 pct | 0.3387 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 5.394 pct | 3.783 pct |
| Goals above expected | +1.799 pct | 0.069 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 56.0%62 pct | 67.7%89 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.4456 pct | 2.0138 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.9265 pct | 0.9696 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.6693 pct | +0.5489 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.5594 pct | +0.3281 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1170 pct | +0.2287 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →