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Frank Vatrano vs Auston Matthews

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Auston Matthews is ahead on 8 of 9 measures. The widest gap is net impact per 60: Auston Matthews sits in the 99th percentile, Frank Vatrano the 2nd.

MeasureVatranoMatthews
Scoring · NHL
Points01
Goals01
Assists00
Ice time per game10:3421:29
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.001 pct0.3589 pct
Shot attempts per game0.01 pct4.389 pct
Goals above expected0.068 pct−0.155 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share—62.8%80 pct
Chances for per 60—3.5891 pct
Chances against per 60—2.1257 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.522 pct+1.0999 pct
Creates per 60+0.0140 pct+0.8799 pct
Prevents per 60−0.531 pct+0.2288 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →