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Adrian Kempe vs Mitch Marner

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Mitch Marner is ahead on 7 of 10 measures. The widest gap is prevents per 60: Mitch Marner sits in the 87th percentile, Adrian Kempe the 6th.

MeasureKempeMarner
Scoring · NHL
Points22
Goals11
Assists11
Ice time per game20:4221:53
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.8399 pct0.3387 pct
Shot attempts per game8.099 pct3.783 pct
Goals above expected−0.78 pct0.069 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share60.1%72 pct67.7%89 pct
Chances for per 602.9271 pct2.0138 pct
Chances against per 601.9464 pct0.9696 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.0628 pct+0.5489 pct
Creates per 60+0.2066 pct+0.3281 pct
Prevents per 60−0.266 pct+0.2287 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →