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Seth Jones vs Tommy Novak

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Tommy Novak is ahead on 8 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Tommy Novak sits in the 97th percentile, Seth Jones the 10th.

MeasureJonesNovak
Scoring · NHL
Points04
Goals02
Assists02
Ice time per game28:2615:23
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2070 pct0.2476 pct
Shot attempts per game4.087 pct2.046 pct
Goals above expected−0.610 pct+1.597 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share62.8%81 pct56.0%62 pct
Chances for per 602.1143 pct2.0339 pct
Chances against per 601.2592 pct1.6081 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.1421 pct+0.7797 pct
Creates per 60−0.1517 pct+0.6797 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0145 pct+0.1069 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →