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Nathan MacKinnon vs Fraser Minten

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Nathan MacKinnon is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is net impact per 60: Nathan MacKinnon sits in the 99th percentile, Fraser Minten the 62nd.

MeasureMacKinnonMinten
Scoring · NHL
Points52
Goals21
Assists31
Ice time per game18:0015:22
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.6498 pct0.1866 pct
Shot attempts per game7.599 pct3.376 pct
Goals above expected+0.786 pct+0.578 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share63.4%82 pct62.1%79 pct
Chances for per 603.4889 pct2.9974 pct
Chances against per 602.0161 pct1.8269 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+1.2199 pct+0.2062 pct
Creates per 60+1.2599 pct+0.1763 pct
Prevents per 60−0.0335 pct+0.0349 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →