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Nathan MacKinnon vs Josh Manson

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Nathan MacKinnon is ahead on 9 of 13 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Nathan MacKinnon sits in the 98th percentile, Josh Manson the 15th.

MeasureMacKinnonManson
Scoring · NHL
Points53
Goals21
Assists32
Ice time per game18:0015:34
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.6498 pct0.0315 pct
Shot attempts per game7.599 pct1.533 pct
Goals above expected+0.786 pct+0.995 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share63.4%82 pct67.8%89 pct
Chances for per 603.4889 pct5.2799 pct
Chances against per 602.0161 pct2.5039 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+1.2199 pct+0.1152 pct
Creates per 60+1.2599 pct0.0038 pct
Prevents per 60−0.0335 pct+0.1171 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →