Jake Guentzel vs Arshdeep Bains
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Lightning · CJake GuentzelChange first player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Brayden Point
- Pontus Holmberg
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- Jake Guentzel
- J.J. Moser
- John Carlson
- Anthony Cirelli
- Erik Cernak
- Jansen Harkins
- Jeffrey Viel
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Victor Hedman
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Emil Lilleberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Canucks · LArshdeep BainsChange second player
Canucks skaters
- Marco Rossi
- Paul Cotter
- Drew O'Connor
- Max Sasson
- Brendan Gallagher
- Liam Ohgren
- Elias Pettersson
- Brock Boeser
- Jake DeBrusk
- Linus Karlsson
- Arshdeep Bains
- Jonathan Lekkerimäki
- Zeev Buium
- Elias Pettersson
- Filip Hronek
- Aatu Räty
- Tom Willander
- Jamie Oleksiak
- Luke Schenn
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Jake Guentzel is ahead on 8 of 12 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Arshdeep Bains sits in the 84th percentile, Jake Guentzel the 28th.
| Measure | Guentzel | Bains |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 3 | 2 |
| Goals | 1 | 1 |
| Assists | 2 | 1 |
| Ice time per game | 21:10 | 11:52 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.1353 pct | 0.0839 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 2.046 pct | 1.324 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.328 pct | +0.784 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 47.4%43 pct | 48.5%45 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.2447 pct | 2.5760 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.4941 pct | 2.7431 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.5489 pct | +0.1960 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.4992 pct | +0.1153 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0554 pct | +0.0863 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →