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Jamie Oleksiak vs Mike Matheson

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Mike Matheson is ahead on 9 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Jamie Oleksiak sits in the 94th percentile, Mike Matheson the 29th.

MeasureOleksiakMatheson
Scoring · NHL
Points31
Goals10
Assists21
Ice time per game20:1025:46
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0212 pct0.1251 pct
Shot attempts per game0.32 pct2.560 pct
Goals above expected+0.994 pct−0.229 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share37.9%21 pct54.6%58 pct
Chances for per 601.6922 pct2.5860 pct
Chances against per 602.7729 pct2.1455 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.377 pct−0.1223 pct
Creates per 60−0.315 pct−0.1715 pct
Prevents per 60−0.0631 pct+0.0553 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →