Brock Nelson vs Macklin Celebrini
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Avalanche · CBrock NelsonChange first player
Avalanche skaters
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Martin Necas
- Artturi Lehkonen
- Nicolas Roy
- Jaden Schwartz
- Cale Makar
- Nazem Kadri
- T.J. Hughes
- Fedor Svechkov
- Sam Malinski
- Brock Nelson
- Parker Kelly
- Brent Burns
- Gabriel Landeskog
- Josh Manson
- Noah Juulsen
- Devon Toews
- Brett Kulak
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Sharks · CMacklin CelebriniChange second player
Sharks skaters
- Will Smith
- Luca Cagnoni
- Michael Misa
- Macklin Celebrini
- Tyler Toffoli
- Kiefer Sherwood
- Alexander Wennberg
- Igor Chernyshov
- Mason Marchment
- Nolan Allan
- Collin Graf
- Zack Ostapchuk
- Dmitry Orlov
- Jacob Trouba
- Ivar Stenberg
- Barclay Goodrow
- Michael Kesselring
- Darnell Nurse
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Macklin Celebrini is ahead on 7 of 13 measures. The widest gap is shot attempts per game: Macklin Celebrini sits in the 95th percentile, Brock Nelson the 18th.
| Measure | Nelson | Celebrini |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 3 | 5 |
| Goals | 1 | 0 |
| Assists | 2 | 5 |
| Ice time per game | 17:43 | 22:20 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.0941 pct | 0.2272 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 1.018 pct | 5.595 pct |
| Goals above expected | +0.890 pct | −0.416 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 59.7%72 pct | 53.3%54 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.1781 pct | 1.5918 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.1356 pct | 1.3989 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.6493 pct | +0.5388 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.4892 pct | +0.2978 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1682 pct | +0.2389 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →