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Senators at Red Wings
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Detroit Red Wings

Final/OTTV FDSNDET, TSN5·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Ottawa Senators 4-3 in overtime, Alex DeBrincat scoring at 0:36. The Red Wings came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex DeBrincat's goal at 0:36 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.9 to 2.6; shots on goal were OTT 22, DET 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. James Reimer stopped 30 of 34 (.882); John Gibson stopped 19 of 22 (.864). Three stars: 1. Alex DeBrincat (1 G, 1 A), 2. Drake Batherson (1 G, 1 A), 3. James van Riemsdyk (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    A. DeBrincat1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    D. Batherson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    J. van Riemsdyk1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
OTTOTT291100300322
DETDET192150911434

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    snapxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:26
  2. OTT
    D. Cozens(15)PPG
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-0
    5:05
  3. DET
    P. Kane (21), A. Copp (21)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:16

2nd period

  1. DET
    snapxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    6:06
  2. DET
    between-legsxG 0.64win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-3
    16:53
  3. OTT
    S. Pinto(14)PPG
    C. Giroux (25), D. Perron (15)
    tip-inxG 0.18win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-3
    19:05

Overtime

  1. DET
    A. Copp (22)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    0:36

Penalties

OTT 14 PIM·DET 10 PIM

1st

  • 4:47DETAndrew Copp · Holdingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
  • 5:22OTTNick Cousins · Elbowingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min
  • 8:00OTTserved by D. Batherson · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:00OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Elmer Soderblom2 min
  • 8:00DETElmer Soderblom · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 8:00OTTThomas Chabot · Roughingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min
  • 8:00DETMason Appleton · Roughingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
  • 16:56DETMoritz Seider · Trippingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min

2nd

  • 9:42OTTRidly Greig · Interferencedrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 16:17OTTDavid Perron · Holdingdrawn by Emmitt Finnie2 min
  • 18:00DETElmer Soderblom · Interferencedrawn by Ridly Greig2 min

3rd

  • 0:49OTTBrady Tkachuk · Trippingdrawn by Emmitt Finnie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalOTT goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Alex DeBrincat, OT 0:36 — DET 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.64J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.35D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.31A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.20A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.14M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.13J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.12E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.10D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.09A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.09J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.09J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.08A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.07J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.07D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.07D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.06M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.06L. Raymond · Goal · xG 0.06E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.05D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.05D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.04M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.04J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.04M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04A. Sandin-Pellikka · Missed · xG 0.04E. Finnie · Missed · xG 0.04A. Sandin-Pellikka · Goal · xG 0.03A. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.03L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.02M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.02M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.02A. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Finnie · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.02M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.02J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.01A. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.00J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.00
DET4 G · 3.9 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsDET
2.63 G
All situations
4 G3.9
2.01 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.62 G
Power play
2 G2.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT33%67%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 3.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsDET
22
Shots on goal
34
59%
Faceoffs
41%
2/3
Power play
2/5
14
Penalty minutes
10
24
Hits
19
10
Blocked shots
11
11
Giveaways
18
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD000-210.21020—26:06
2A. ZubD000020.09010—22:26
71R. GreigC000000.16102019:57
72T. ChabotD011+110.12232—19:42
18T. StützleC000020.120005018:24
12S. PintoC101-110.181103817:55
3N. JensenD000000.00200—17:38
28C. GirouxR011020.263106416:50
43T. KlevenD000000.00220—16:44
7B. TkachukL011-130.2710410016:42
24D. CozensC101030.571007716:23
10J. SpenceD000010.02000—14:57
19D. BathersonR112+120.22100—14:37
20F. ZetterlundL011+130.34200—13:46
22M. AmadioR000-100.00400—11:51
57D. PerronL011-100.00202—11:11
21N. CousinsC000000.02202009:20
89L. EllerC000010.070005709:17
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(O)34304.8823.88-0.1260:08

Season series

DET leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).